H1Bs, Country Caps, and the worst Canada immigration fraud yet

Merry Christmas turned to mud slinging over immigration, Canada as a case study pierces the hypotheticals with irrefutable conclusions

In a surprising twist the discourse on Twitter this week switched to immigration, specifically H-1Bs, per country caps, and the potential impact of the latest Trump appointee, Sriram Krishnan, who has happened to advocate strongly for increased Indian immigration many times in the recent past.

Is this the end of America-First? Given the blowback, I would bet it is not.

But, is it really a battle between the enlightened tech CEOs and VCs versus the unwashed, racist masses?

Or are there empirical case studies we can draw from to elevate the discourse beyond unprovable hypotheticals and idealistic platitudes?

Well, America certainly has its legal immigration abuses, but no country rivals Canada at the skill and speed with which legal immigration policy changes and abuses have left the country with results so dire that most would describe it as a controlled demolition.

Today, we break down some of the common topics and rebuttals being swatted back-and-forth currently, and how the Canada case study establishes concretely the invalidity of many of these arguments. For a more general breakdown of the H1B visa and the broader discourse, the latest from Arbitrage Andy is worth the read.

At the end of today’s article, I will also report the latest immigration fraud being exploited at scale by multiple ethnic groups now, being perpetrated against the Canadian immigration and education system at huge cost of taxpayers, which has yet to be reported at all by mainstream media.

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Why don't Americans just win on merit?

What most miss from the immigration discourse is that the idea of a labor meritocracy is pure fiction.

Over a decade of DEI embedded hiring preferences and ethnic ingroup preferences means merit is far from the top criteria for any job posting.

Go chart the company composition at TD bank after their leadership flipped Indian. Go ask HR who they would choose between equivalently credentialed Indian or a white candidate. Case study after case study. There is no need to claim these are unprovable hypotheticals.

Furthermore, companies have deep incentives to prefer foreign workers on restrictive visas than citizen hires, even ignoring the above ethnic or racial preferences.

Why? Visa restrictions often prevent workers from moving companies, meaning the employer has huge power over workers who now have the only last recourse to protest poor wages or work conditions removed: the freedom to leave.

Without threat of being able to find another job, employers can and do treat foreign workers like a slave class, ripe for exploitation in more hours and lower wages.

Disabuse yourself of the notion that "skilled immigration" is anything more in the vast majority of cases than "slave transportation".

Removing Country Caps

Trump appointee, Sriram Krishnan, in past tweets and podcast appearances argued for removing the per country cap in the US immigration system.

The per country cap prevents a single country from dominating any of the available slots in a given program. According to the Krishnan, the cap unfairly limits Indians from immigrating in higher numbers, even while they already dominate securing over 70% of issued H1Bs each year.

But, surely removing this cap wouldn't have negative consequences to composition of the polity?

Again, the Canada case study is more than sufficient to answer this conclusively.

The State of Canada: Immigration, Election, & RE Update

After decades of per country caps and historically relevant countries like Britain being the top of a balanced Canadian immigration policy, caps were lifted and Chinese initially (see: Vancouver) though now predominantly Indian immigration (see: Toronto) has dominated numbers in recent years.

Huge inflows of homogenous groups leads to ghettos and further eliminates the likelihood of assimilation. Rather than successive waves of immigration (British, Irish, German, Slavic, Italian...) in the United States gradually assimilating and forming the historic homogeneous polity known as "White Americans", unsustainably high levels from a single group fractures the polity and at extremes seen in Canada can fracture a nation.

As reviewed in the last Canada deep dive, importing 3 million mostly Indians into a population of 35 million for multiple years was all it took to tip over the already fragile social systems, education, healthcare, and broader economic activity of Canada.

Country caps may be the single policy which has saved the US from a similar fate. Canada's rampant abuse of "legal immigration" has gotten so bad it may rival in negative impact the much more discussed "illegal immigration" problems facing the United States.

Game Theory: Color-Blind Hiring

Viewed through game theory, it becomes quite clear how the status quo remains open to exploitation by dishonest players.

Consider the following, even setting aside the DEI preferences for "diverse" candidates or corporate interests in visa workers who can be exploited for more hours and lower wages.

Hiring is supposed to be color blind and solely based on merit. If applicants and hiring managers from all groups act according to this principle, the best candidate is chosen.

But, if one ethnic group deviates from this cooperative strategy, it all falls apart. Hiring managers start to put their thumb on the scales for their preferred ethnic group. Applicants start to add fraudulent credentials to their resumes knowing there will be no penalty if they are ever caught by their co-ethnic hiring manager.

If other groups continue to play by the color blind rules, they continue to fall behind as the game theory optimized win-win cooperation gameplay is disregarded for win-lose selfish strategies.

Without addressing the underlying assumptions of systems, it's easy to come to the incorrect conclusion, like Vivek Ramaswamy did recently, that domestic candidates are losing out on jobs simply on merit. But, that is clearly not the case.

Fraud, abuse, diversity hiring preferences, and indentured servitude wage suppression for corporations all lead to non-merit based hiring decisions which prefer ethnic foreign workers on restrictive visas like the H-1B program in the US, or LMIA employer exceptions in Canada.

Fake Colleges: Latest Canada Immigration Fraud

To underline the unbelievable scale of fraud happening to legal immigration systems, I bring the latest unreported scheme being run at scale in Canada to defraud tax payers of millions.

In Ontario, Canada's most populous province, the student loan program offers low rate, generous payback term loans to students, often with a federal grant included.

This means that a student may request $25k in loans for the year, and be given a $10 grant which they don't need to repay, and then $15k in sub-prime interest loans which don't accrue until 2 years after graduation.

The latest fraud revealed to me by first hand parties on the ground in suburbs surrounding Toronto plays out as follows.